Skip to main content

Dimensionnement de trésorerie

Calculez un investissement que vous pourrez maintenir.

Choisissez votre méthode, puis utilisez le calculateur interactif pour les chiffres réels.

Ouvrir le calculateur Kelly

Quick answer

What is the 1% rule?

Never risk more than 1% of your total bankroll on a single bet. With a $2,000 bankroll that means a $20 maximum stake. The rule caps drawdowns, keeps variance survivable, and forces stake sizes to shrink automatically after losses.

Used as the default unit size in the calculator below.

Méthodes de gestion de trésorerie

Pourcentage fixe

Stake = bankroll × fixed %

Risquez un pourcentage constant de 1 à 3% et laissez la mise redimensionner au fur et à mesure que votre trésorerie change.

Basé sur l'unité

1 unit = bankroll × 1%

Définissez une unité réutilisable, puis ne variez que le nombre d'unités que vous risquez.

Critère Kelly

f* = (bp − q) / b

Définissez la taille à partir de vos cotes et de votre avantage estimé; le Kelly fractionnaire réduit la volatilité.

Niveaux de confiance

Stake = base unit × tier

Utilisez des mises petites, moyennes et grandes sans abandonner une base cohérente.

Exemples rapides+

Trésorerie de 1 000 $ · 2% fixe

20 $ par pari

Trésorerie de 1 000 $ · 1 unité = 1%

10 $ par unité

Résultat Kelly · Demi Kelly sélectionné

50% de la mise pleine-Kelly

Frequently asked questions

What is the 1% rule in gambling?+

The 1% rule means never risking more than 1% of your total bankroll on a single bet. With a $2,000 bankroll, your maximum stake is $20. It limits drawdowns during losing streaks and automatically scales your stakes down when your bankroll shrinks.

What is a good bankroll for poker?+

A common guideline is 20–40 buy-ins for cash games (e.g. $4,000–$8,000 for $1/$2 with a $200 buy-in) and 50–100+ buy-ins for tournaments, because tournament variance is much higher. Track every session to learn your true win rate before moving up stakes.

How much should I risk per bet?+

Flat staking of 1–2% of bankroll per bet is the standard conservative approach. Kelly-based sizing risks more when your edge is bigger, but most practitioners use half or quarter Kelly to reduce variance. Never increase stakes to chase losses.

What is the Kelly Criterion?+

The Kelly Criterion is a formula for bet sizing that maximizes long-run bankroll growth: f* = (bp − q) / b, where b is the odds received, p the win probability, and q the loss probability. Because full Kelly is volatile, half or quarter Kelly is common in practice.