Porcentaje fijo
Stake = bankroll × fixed %Arriesga un consistente 1-3% y deja que la apuesta se redimensione a medida que tu bankroll cambia.
Tamaño de bankroll
Elige tu método, luego usa la calculadora interactiva para los números reales.
Abrir calculadora de KellyQuick answer
Never risk more than 1% of your total bankroll on a single bet. With a $2,000 bankroll that means a $20 maximum stake. The rule caps drawdowns, keeps variance survivable, and forces stake sizes to shrink automatically after losses.
Used as the default unit size in the calculator below.
Stake = bankroll × fixed %Arriesga un consistente 1-3% y deja que la apuesta se redimensione a medida que tu bankroll cambia.
1 unit = bankroll × 1%Define una unidad reutilizable, luego varía solo el número de unidades que arriesgas.
f* = (bp − q) / bTamaño desde tus probabilidades y ventaja estimada; Kelly fraccionado reduce la volatilidad.
Stake = base unit × tierUsa apuestas pequeñas, medianas y grandes sin abandonar una base consistente.
Bankroll de $1,000 · 2% fijo
$20 por apuesta
Bankroll de $1,000 · 1 unidad = 1%
$10 por unidad
Resultado de Kelly · Kelly fraccionado seleccionado
50% del stake de Kelly completo
The 1% rule means never risking more than 1% of your total bankroll on a single bet. With a $2,000 bankroll, your maximum stake is $20. It limits drawdowns during losing streaks and automatically scales your stakes down when your bankroll shrinks.
A common guideline is 20–40 buy-ins for cash games (e.g. $4,000–$8,000 for $1/$2 with a $200 buy-in) and 50–100+ buy-ins for tournaments, because tournament variance is much higher. Track every session to learn your true win rate before moving up stakes.
Flat staking of 1–2% of bankroll per bet is the standard conservative approach. Kelly-based sizing risks more when your edge is bigger, but most practitioners use half or quarter Kelly to reduce variance. Never increase stakes to chase losses.
The Kelly Criterion is a formula for bet sizing that maximizes long-run bankroll growth: f* = (bp − q) / b, where b is the odds received, p the win probability, and q the loss probability. Because full Kelly is volatile, half or quarter Kelly is common in practice.